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Coronavirus Impact Report

  • SalesOut
  • SalesOut

This report contains:

  • Summary of UK Performance
  • UK update on COVID-19
  • The new normal that FMCG retailers and manufacturers expect after COVID-19
  • Appendix: Focus on
    • Spain
    • Greece
    • New Zealand

SUMMARY OF UK PERFORMANCE

  • End of the 16th week of the UK lockdown and the easing of restrictions in the UK continue. Risk level remains at 3 with further easing of restrictions across England, Scotland and Wales gathers pace to help boost the economy
  • In the latest week, sales reached £2.40b; £181m higher than the same time last year but down -2.6% on last week
  • Sales are +8.2% on the same time last year, but down from the highs of recent weeks as a result of a combination of factors; comparatively cooler, wetter weather conditions and potentially the beginning of a move back to normality as lockdown measures ease, and the Hospitality sector reopens
  • Of the +8.2% growth in Total Store sales vs year ago, Grocery sales increased +9.3% and Non Food +4.4%
  • Since the beginning of 2020 and predominantly since the start of COVID-19, UK Retailer sales are £4.372b higher than last year, driven by Ambient (+£1.4b) and BWS (+£1.1b) departments
  • Of the additional £181m spent in the latest week, this was driven by an increased Grocery spend of £159m and £22m in Non Food
  • BWS, Tobacco, Meats/Fish, Personal Wash and Cooking Sauces feature in the top growing Sub-Categories
  • UK Lockdown measures continue to impact the demand for Food to Go categories; Sandwiches, In-Store Deli’s, Water, Ice Cream, Sun Cream and Newspapers
  • The Convenience channel has benefitted from the changing consumer shopping habits and in the latest data accounted for 26.1% of all purchases, an increase from the previous week

 

TIMELINE OF EVENTS

 

 

End of the 16th week of the UK lockdown and the FTSE 100 records its best quarter since 2010. Concerns are raised though over how to repay the £190bn coronavirus support provided by the government

  • FTSE records its best quarter since 2010 - but lags European peers. The leading London share index has risen by 9% since the end of March but uncertainties remain amid fresh worries about COVID-19
  • PM says face coverings 'should be worn' in shops. Boris Johnson says people in England "should be wearing" face coverings inside shops to prevent the spread of coronavirus. The government will decide in the next few days if "tools of enforcement" are needed
  • Taxpayers face a day of reckoning when the government's massive coronavirus support measures have to be paid off, experts warn. The Institute of Fiscal Studies think tank says the economy will remain in a "support and recovery" phase for some time, but higher taxes are inevitable. On Wednesday, the chancellor unveiled another £30bn of support, bringing the total cost to £190bn.

 

Total Market Value Sales – In the latest week, sales reached £2.40b which is £181m higher than last year. Sales are +8.2% on the same time last year, but down from the highs of recent weeks as a result of a combination of factors; comparatively cooler, wetter weather conditions and potentially the beginning of a move back to normality as lockdown measures ease, and the Hospitality sector reopens

 

IRI’s Demand Index show Bakery is the only department indexing down vs last year in Value sales

IRI Demand Index

 

Focus on Bakery – Decline has been driven by In-Store Bakery which has indexed consistently lower as restrictions impact retailer sales Wine and Beers sales helps maintain BWS positive Demand Index, although the BWS Demand Index is at its lowest level in the last 11 weeks

Focus on Bakery

 

Top 35 Categories based on Value Change for the Latest Week

Top 35 categories


Published 5 October, 2021

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